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Sales move up while new listings drop; composite residential benchmark still below $1-million

There are several market dynamics occurring at this time which reinforce what I have been saying for the last couple of months. If you are watching the housing market with the intention of buying, then I highly recommend you make that decision now. July sales in the Greater Vancouver region showed a sharp rise over June, an increase of more than 23 per cent in one month. I would normally not pay the as much attention to one month’s activity except that July is typically a slower month for real estate sales. Add to this current activity two other metrics to see what’s emerging. First, the number of new listings in July went down almost 5.0 per cent compared with June; and second, the composite benchmark price is just under the psychological threshold of $1-million. Together, these three figures suggest that buyers are realizing prices could begin rising against a declining inventory, and that once the $1-million mark is surpassed again, pent up demand can keep it going upwards. This can also cause potential sellers to delay their listing while hoping to get a higher price, which further move prices up on supply -demand basis.

In actual numbers, there is still a sizable inventory across all housing types so the selection remains very good with a total 14,240 homes available at the end of July. You can find a sample of benchmarks for each property type below with my latest comparisons of month-over-month prices. The composite benchmark price for Metro Vancouver at the end of July was $995,200, a slight decrease of 0.2 per cent from June. As I mentioned last month, this benchmark dropped below $1-million for the first time since 2017, brought down by market cooling measures taken by two levels of government. During this time, a lot of potential buyers have been waiting on the sidelines to make a purchase. As it did in 2017, this benchmark price jumped over $1-million quickly. I will be watching it for you in this newsletter next month. In the meantime, I encourage you to take advantage of the lovely summer weather and check out some of the great listings available to you now.

Detached Homes

The benchmark price for a single-family detached home in Greater Vancouver at the end of July was $1,417,000, a decrease of 0.5 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $2,885,400 and Sunshine Coast at $596,300. (Note I include the Sunshine Coast only as a factor in the average, but do not report on housing prices in this area because it is to far away for my clients). The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Port Moody at $1,442,000, an increase of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month; Richmond at $1,474,800, a decrease of 0.7 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby South at $1,477,300, a decrease of 1.3 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby North at $1,373,400, a decrease of 1.9 per cent from the preceding month; Vancouver East at $1,352,800, an increase of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby East at $1,181,900, and increase of 0.1 per cent from the preceding month.

Townhouses

The benchmark price for a townhouse in Greater Vancouver at the end of July was $770,000, a decrease of 0.6 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $1,114,700 and Maple Ridge at $524,100. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Richmond at $770,900, a decrease of 1.1 per cent from the preceding month; Vancouver East at $847,400, a decrease of 1.6 per cent from the preceding month; and West Vancouver at $1,114,700, a decrease of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month. (Note I have excluded Whistler in third place here because it is too far away for my clients.) The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby South at $760,600, a decrease of 0.3 per cent from the preceding month; New Westminster at $713,900, a decrease of 1.1 per cent from the preceding month; and Port Moody at $656,900, an increase of 0.4 per cent from the preceding month. (Note I have excluded Squamish in third place here because it is too far away for my clients.)

Condominiums

The benchmark price for a condominium in Greater Vancouver at the end of July was $653,200, a decrease of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of the average were West Vancouver at $1,085,700 and Maple Ridge at $347,800. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Burnaby South at $653,500, a decrease of 1.9 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby East at $721,200, a decrease of 2.0 per cent from the preceding month; and Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $752,300, an increase of 1.1 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Port Moody at 628,700, an increase of 1.4 per cent from the preceding month; Richmond at $652,500, a decrease of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby North at $609,500, an increase of 0.3 per cent from the preceding month.

How can I help?

I am here to help you, whatever your housing requirements, I bring experience in banking and finance to assist you in your mortgage planning and can also advise you on pricing your home at the optimal price for the prevailing market conditions. This may include renovations that will increase your home value or simply enhance your own living comfort. I can recommend excellent tradespeople who are reputable, reliable and reasonable in their rates. It gives me pleasure to help my clients. Please don’t hesitate to call me for any real estate advice you may need.

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®

Your Market Update for July 2018

With the Bank of Canada’s recent announcement of an interest rate rise of 0.25 per cent, we are already seeing some commercial banks raise their prime mortgage rates. This is not a surprise and is in fact the fourth such interest rate increase by the Bank of Canada in the last 12 months. For anyone with a variable rate mortgage, their monthly payments will increase accordingly. For those who have not yet negotiated a mortgage and were hoping to do so soon, the rate will be slightly higher. But the effect of these rate increases is not all negative.

METRO VANCOUVER

I reported last month, various factors including higher interest rates and stricter mortgage requirements appear to be dampening demand for home sales in Metro Vancouver, and the latest figures show a decline in sales activities is continuing. The upside is that for prospective home buyers, the inventory of available homes at the end of June was at a three-year high. At the end of June, the total number of homes listed for sale in Metro Vancouver was 11,947, of which over 5,000 were listed in June alone. Yet, sales at the end of last month were close to 30 per cent below the ten-year average. So, I am encouraging anyone who is seriously looking for a home to take advantage of the big selection on the market now. With the reduced demand, you are less likely to get into a bidding war for a property you want. In fact, the overall Benchmark price of $1.093,600 for a residential property in Metro Vancouver at the end of June remained unchanged from the previous month. Anyone who has been watching prices escalate for several years will recognize the significance of the current price stability. It is a buyer’s market currently. Below I have selected areas for each of property type which are closest to the Metro benchmark on both the higher and lower sides of this average.

Detached Properties

The benchmark price for a detached home in Metro Vancouver at the end of June was $1,598,200, a decrease of 0.6 per cent from the preceding May. This benchmark average was made of benchmark prices between the extremities of the Sunshine Coast at $628,000 and Vancouver West at $3,392,500. (Note this is not West Vancouver which was at $2,944,900.) I have selected three areas which are closest on both sides for the Metro benchmark. On the higher side of the benchmark were: Richmond at $1,648,600, a decrease of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month; North Vancouver at $1,683,680, a decrease of 1.5 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby South at $1,712,400, an increase of 2.5 per cent from the preceding month. Closest to the Metro Benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Port Moody at $1,551,900, an increase of 1.5 per cent from the preceding May; Vancouver East at $1,541,400, a decrease of 0.1 per cent from the preceding May; and Burnaby North at $1,538,900, a decrease of 2.3 per cent from the preceding month.

Townhouses

The benchmark price for a townhouse in Metro Vancouver at the end of June was $859,800, which was unchanged from the preceding month. This benchmark average was made of benchmark prices between the extremities of Maple Ridge at $574,300 and West Vancouver at $1,303,600. I have selected three areas which are closest on both sides for the Metro benchmark. (I have excluded from this selection the areas of Squamish and Whistler which are too far out for most of my clients.) On the higher side of the benchmark were: Vancouver East at $923,400, a decrease of 0.3 per cent from the preceding May; North Vancouver at $1,049,900, an increase of 1.4 per cent from the preceding May; and Vancouver West at $1,303,600, a decrease of 0.1 per cent from the preceding May. Closest to the Metro benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby South at $856,400, an increase of 1.8 per cent from the preceding May; Richmond at $854,800, an increase of 1.0 per cent from the preceding May; and Ladner at $778,000, a decrease of 1.2 per cent from the preceding May.

Condominiums

The benchmark price for a condominium in Metro Vancouver at the end of June was $704,200, an increase of 0.4 per cent from the preceding May. This benchmark average was made of benchmark prices between the extremities of Pitt Meadows at $480,300 and West Vancouver at $1,286,500. I have selected three areas which are closest on both sides for the Metro benchmark. On the higher side of the average were: Burnaby South at $737,000 and increase of 1.1 per cent from the preceding May; Vancouver West at $842,600, a decrease of 0.3 per cent from the preceding May; and West Vancouver at $1,286,500, an increase of 0.5 per cent from the preceding May. Closest to the Metro benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby East at $701,400, a decrease of 2.0 per cent from the preceding May; Port Moody at $699,200, an increase of 0.9 per cent from the preceding May; and Richmond at $683,800, an increase of 2.0 per cent from the preceding May.

FRASER VALLEY

As it the case in Metro Vancouver, the inventory of residential properties in the Fraser Valley continued to increase. The total number of listings across all property types rose to 7,141 at the end of June, an increase of 6 per cent from the preceding May, providing an excellent selection for prospective home buyers this summer. If you haven’t yet found the residence you’ve been looking for in the Valley, then I strongly recommend you look at some newly listed properties this month. There were over 3,100 new listings in June alone. Prices are holding steady at present with a slight decrease in some cases – the average across all property types at the end of June decreased 4.9 per cent from the preceding May — so if you eager to buy this appears to be one a favourable time for buyers. Sales activity is still brisk, however, and properties can sell quite soon after they are listed. Last month the average time for a single family detached home was on the market in the Fraser Valley was 26 days; townhouses sold on average after 19 days, and condominiums after 21 days. As has been the case for some time, townhouses and condominiums make up just over 50 per cent of all sales, but detached properties are still a favourite for many families who want to enjoy Valley life with their children. Below is my selection this month for the three property types with benchmark prices at then end June in areas where I think you will find some excellent value.

Detached Homes

The benchmark price for a detached property in the Fraser Valley at the end June was $1, 018,900, a 0.2 per cent decrease from the preceding May. The extremities of this average were $1,073,700 in Langley and $692,300 in Mission. Here is my selection for the three closest benchmark prices on both the higher and lower sides of this Valley benchmark. On the higher side of the average were: Cloverdale at $1,036,600, a 1.1 per cent decrease from the preceding May; Surrey at $1,53,600, a 0.3 per cent increase from the preceding May; and Langley at $1,73,700, a 0.4 per cent increase from the preceding May. Closest to Fraser Valley benchmark on the lower side of the average were: North Surrey at $998,900, a 0.5 per cent decrease from the preceding May; North Delta at $957,800, a 0.1 per cent decrease from the preceding May; and $840,700, a 0.5 per cent increase from the preceding May.

Townhouses

The benchmark price for a townhouse in the Fraser Valley at the end of June was $558,000, an increase of 0.4 per cent from the preceding May. The extremities of this average were $680,800 in South Surrey/White Rock and $409,400 in Abbotsford. Here is my selection of the three closest benchmark prices on both the higher and lower sides of this Valley benchmark. On the higher side of the average were: North Surrey at $589,400, a decrease of 0.7 per cent from the preceding May; Surrey at $598,000, an increase of 0.9 per cent from the preceding May; and Cloverdale at $618,300, an increase of 0.2 per cent from the preceding May. Closest to the Valley benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Langley at $527,900, a decrease of 0.2 per cent from the preceding May; Mission at $441,800, a decrease of 1.8 per cent from the preceding May; and Abbotsford at $409,400, an increase of 3.5 per cent from the preceding May.

Condominiums

The benchmark price for condominium in the Fraser Valley at the end of June was $453,500, an increase of 0.1 per cent from the preceding May. The extremities of this average were $516,000 in South Surrey/White Rock and $356,800 in Abbotsford. Here is my selection of the three closest benchmark prices on both the higher and lower sides of this Valley benchmark. On the higher side of the average were: Surrey at $464,300, a decrease of 0.5 per cent from the preceding May; Cloverdale at $513,000, an increase of 0.6 per cent from the preceding May; and South Surrey/White Rock at $516,000, a decrease of 1.4 per cent from the preceding May. Closest to the Valley benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Langley at $448,500, a decrease of 1.2 per cent from the preceding May; North Surrey at $443,800, an increase of 1.0 per cent from the preceding May; and North Delta at $433,200, a decrease of 0.1 per cent.

The summer weather is now making it enjoyable to take a drive around the community where you would like to locate your new residence. I encourage you to view some of the open houses that you see and compare their features to what find properties priced close to the benchmark prices I have mentioned above. Remember that a benchmark price is an average based on home with similar characteristics, so be sure to note any features that you really want in your new home. I am always happy to provide you with more information in any property type in whatever area you are interested in, so please feel free to give me a call, whether you are just curious about the market or are at the stage of planning on buying or listing.

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Your December Real Estate Recap

With Christmas almost here, I know it’s a bustling time that can also be somewhat stressful even as we enjoy festive activities, often in the homes of our friends and relatives. For my clients who are currently in the market to buy a home, this can also be a good season to refresh your spirits from your hard work, and look forward to next Christmas when you are entertaining guests in your new home. It’s a happy season when we can really appreciate the value of home ownership – something that enhances our enjoyment of life and gives us a sense of stability with a longer-term focus for our daily routines.

The Metro Vancouver housing market has given us a gift this season as well. There were over 4,000 newly listed residential properties in the month of November. On top of that, the composite benchmark price for all properties increased a mere 0.4 per cent from October, so there is good reason to actively pursue the home you want at this time. It’s probably wise to think that the modest monthly price increases that have been occurring over recent months will not continue forever. Keep in mind that this past November’s composite benchmark price was 14 per cent higher than one year ago. We don’t have a crystal ball to tell us when the next major surge in demand may suddenly drive prices much higher, but we can be reasonably certain that Vancouver will continue to attract more home buyers, even at the higher end for a single family detached home which is currently at a benchmark in Metro Vancouver of $1,608.000. Prices above the $1-million psychological threshold that I have talked about for several months will eventually begin to move higher more quickly.

For other property types, the November benchmark price for Metro Vancouver townhouses was $805,200; and for condominiums, $648,200. As with detached properties, a similar modest monthly price increase occurred with a 0.3 per cent increase for townhouses, but for condominiums it was a full 1.0 per cent higher than October. I will monitor this differential in the coming months because I see a possible rate of change widening between townhouses and condominiums. Consider that the six-month differences were increases of 8.7 per cent for townhouses and 11.0 per cent for condominiums; and the twelve-month difference was an increase of 17.9 per cent for townhouses and 23.9 per cent for condominiums. There appears to an upward sloping curve developing faster for price increases of condos, which I will keep you informed about in future newsletters. Below is a breakdown of my suggested areas to look for these two property types based on November’s figures.

For townhouses, there are six areas that showed an increased price of less than 0.1 per cent from October. With their respective Benchmark prices in November, these were: Vancouver West at $1,268,200, an increase of 0.3 per cent; North Vancouver at $983,600, an increase of 0.7 per cent; Vancouver East at $861,900, an increase of 0.8 per cent; Richmond at $805,500, an increase of 0.7 per cent; New Westminster at $682,300, an increase of 0.5 per cent; and Maple Ridge at $532,900, and increase of 0.6 per cent.

For condominiums, there are four areas that showed an increased price of less than 0.1 per cent from October. With their respective Benchmark prices in November, these were: Vancouver West at $811,200, an increase of 0.6 per cent; Richmond at $612,900, an increase of 0.5 per cent; Vancouver East at $540,300, an increase of 0.3 per cent; and New Westminster at $493,900, an increase of 0.6 per cent.

Fraser Valley

The Valley remains a popular area for young families and singles buying their first home. The benchmark price for a Single Family Detached home is still under the $1-million mark despite months of speculation that it would surpass this threshold very soon. The November price of $972,700 was only 0.1 per cent higher than October, so like Metro Vancouver, the monthly rate of increase is still low and generally stable at present. The rate of increase for the same property type from one year ago was 13.5 per cent. It’s probably safe to assume that this rate of increase will continue similarly, or even accelerate over the next year. Even continuing at the same rate, it would mean in one year the benchmark price will be over the $1-million mark. For this reason, anyone looking to buy a Single Family Detached Property in the Valley might want to make that purchase soon. One area that is very close to reaching the $1-million benchmark price are Cloverdale at $998,100, followed by two others: North Surrey at $941,800 and North Delta at $914,900. I would be happy to show you some homes that would be good investments in any of these areas.

The greatest sales activity in the Fraser Valley continues to be in attached homes, with 425 townhouses and 426 condominiums sold in November. The market is still “hot” so I encourage anyone who is really wanting to buy in the region to make an offer without delaying. The average length of time to sell a townhouse last month was 21 days, and 17 days for a condominium. These two property types provide some affordable prices, especially for young singles who are getting into the condominium market for the first time, or young couples who are looking for larger townhouse to start raising a family. The November benchmark price for Valley townhouse was $505,700, and for a condominium $376,700. You can see at these prices why the Valley is so popular. Below, I have selected some areas where I think there are some excellent choices for buyers who are watching current prices.

For townhouses, this month I want to draw your attention to the areas of North Delta, and South Surrey/White Rock. Both these areas have seen an interesting benchmark price change from October to November. They are the only two Fraser Valley areas where the townhouse benchmark has actually decreased. A decrease in price is unusual when so many people are looking to buy, but it does not necessarily mean that the value of the property has decreased. Decreases can occur in short term periods depending on variety of reasons, ranging from the supply-demand ratio to a specific seller’s personal circumstances and desire to sell. In North Delta, the November benchmark price for a townhouse was $564,100, a 2.5 per cent decrease from October. In South Surrey/White Rock, the benchmark price was $642,600, a 0.8 per cent decrease from October. For condominiums, I suggest my clients would find a very nice unit in a price range similar to the Valley benchmark price in the following areas: Here I have also included the one month rate of change since October. There were no decreases for this property type. Starting as far out as Langley, the benchmark price was $389,900, a 2.6 per cent increase; Surrey was at $371,900, a 2.1 per cent increase; North Surrey at $362,000, a 2.0 per cent increase; and North Delta at $328,100, a 0.9 per cent increase.

I am always keeping my eye on market trends, so please give me a call if you have any questions at all about home prices, or what is available for your specific needs. I love to work with numbers, and people, and I am happy to look at your specific requirements to help you with the purchase or sale of your home.

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®

Surrey Recognized as Best Place for Real Estate Investment

A new report this November ranks Surrey as the best place for real estate investment in British Columbia. Produced by the Real Estate Investment Network (REIN), it shows Surrey leading to the top 10 towns and cities in British Columbia. It’s absolutely true!

As a Surrey resident, I cannot say how glad I am to have chosen Surrey as city in which to raise my family. Below I have listed just a few of the great activities – just for youth – that happen in Surrey. There’s so much for youth alone, I’ll have to dedicate another blog to activities for others.

But if you want to raise a family in Surrey, here are the kind of events that I think the REIN report must have had in mind when it ranked Surrey as # 1.

Throughout the year, there are five major festivals: Canada Day and Fusion Festival in the summer; a Tree Lighting Festival in early winter; and the Party for the Planet and the Surrey International Children’s Festival in the spring.

And look at some of the major events offered among activities just for young people over the past year alone:

In March, The Surrey Steps Up program celebrated the positive impact young people have our communities and lives.

May 1 to 7 was Youth Week, five days of incredible fun, socializing and learning. This internationally recognized week is dedicated to to acknowledging, celebrating and advocating for youth empowerment, achievement and involvement throughout the year.

Monday May 1: Voices for Change was a youth inclusion art camp held in the evening at the Chuck Bailey Recreation Centre. The three hour session was all about creative expression and helping youth tell their own story about what inclusion means to them.

Tuesday May 2: An evening session at the Guildford Recreation Centre that was a Girls Night just for preteens. This was a night full of energy and laughter, a great opportunity for girls to socialize and have fun while playing games, dancing, crafting, baking and much more.

Tuesday May 2: A break dance for two hours in the evening at Kwantlen Polytechnic University Gymnasium. Our accomplished break dancers were able to show off their dance moves during a mini dance battle with the night ending with prizes and snacks.

Tuesday May 2: The evening Art Together program at the Surrey Arts Centre was a wonderful time for your creative young people to make art and share ideas. This is a unique event provided an opportunity for young people to create art together with mentoring artists.

Wednesday May 3: An outdoor ball hockey game took place at the South Surrey Recreation & Arts Centre from 3:00 pm to 6:00 pm – an energetic change of pace and great fun too.

Wednesday May 3: The Pixel Post it Note Art Extravaganza event at the Guildford Library between 3:30 pm and 9:00 pm was a chance for participants to get creative with Post It Notes. It’s amazing to see what can be produced by our young artists.

Thursday May 4: Today’s event was a change to physical activity with a Sports Skill Competition at W.E. Kincig Elementary School. Two competitions took place, one for grades 5 to 7 from 5 pm to 7 pm; and another for grades 8 to 12 from 7 pm to 8:30 pm.

Friday May 5: The Skate Jam & Gamers Challenge from 4 pm to 7 pm at the Chuck Bailey Recreation Centre was a fun and competitive skateboard jam featuring music and lots of prizes in the skate park. All levels were welcome, and lots of talent showed up

Saturday May 6: The Surrey Youth Showcase at the Guildford Recreation Centre had dance battles for 2-vs-2 Break, 1-vs-1 Footwork, 1-vs-1 B-Girl and Cypher Battles, and also included hip hop dancers. There were carnival games for younger kids and a basketball tournament which included some wheel chair basketball as well. You couldn’t ask for a more a more exciting single day of high energy youth activities.

On May 12th the 7th annual Sassy Awards sponsored by the Semiahmoo Rotary Club at the Surrey Arts Centre honoured youth aged 15 to 21 who are making a difference in our community. Sassy stand for Service above Self and had seven award categories: i) Arts and Culture Leadership; ii) Community Service; iii) Environmental Leadership; iv) International Service; Overcoming Adversity; Sports Leadership; and Youth Leadership. These awards are a great way to promote leadership among our young people and I encourage you to nominate deserving youth for next year’s awards.

Sassy Awards

On September 9, 2017, Band-Aid took place at the Surrey City Hall (13450 104 Avenue)
This was a free event allowing young musicians between age 12 and 22 to join music industry mentors for a day of workshops. Band-Aid is a community-driven event with local singers, sola artists, bands and DJs. The ended with a jam that goes into the night, with friends and family all welcome.

On September 23 Surrey’s largest youth event – Youth Fest –  took place at the Guildford Recreation Centre. A great variety of activities for everyone made the afternoon event a wonderfully fun place to be. The activities included live music and DJs on stage; an all styles dance competition; carnival games and a wipe-out inflatable game; a cooking event with a master chef; and collaborative arts making in the arts café. The evening capped off the Fest with a teen dance from 8 pm to 11 pm. Everything was planned extremely well, including a free shuttle bus to get to and from the venue safely.

I hope this sample of youth events over the past year gives you an insight into what makes Surrey such a great place to buy a home and raise a family. And I’ve only had space here to talk about events that will keep your kids engaged and happy in a wholesome lifestyle.

Stay tuned, and I will describe other events for parents in another post.

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®