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One particular constant in Metro Vancouver’s residential market

There’s a single constant in the Greater Vancouver housing market that everyone should keep in mind. It can be expressed as simply as this: people want to live here. This includes families, singles, young people starting out in life, mid-career people with children, and retired seniors. Our region continues to grow in population size; not, however, in geographical size. It is to be expected, therefore, that residential housing will continue to rise in price over the long term. I think most people understand this, and those who see their lives as average and middle class are happy with a regulatory system that keeps prices to a moderate and somewhat predictable rate of increase. That is what we have been experiencing for several months now. What is a bit worrisome is that the supply side is not keeping pace, and if it continues to slow, as I have reporting here for the past few months, there is the looming fear that prices could we suddenly rise more rapidly than they are at present. The supply of housing can only increase with more listings from current owners, or from more residential building, which by necessity must be either with densification or with more towers. Let’s look at what the market statistics tell us now.

The composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver at the end of January 2020 was $1,008,700. This was 0.8 per cent higher than the preceding month, and 1.4 per cent higher that six months ago. The average monthly increase has been relatively small but steady. It is possible that some homeowners may be using this rate to gauge when they will list their home for sale. And of course, if there is surge in prices, this may also trigger more listings, but the actual psychology of homeowners cannot be determined by this alone. It would be reasonable to guess that new listings may come from a market segment where age is an important determinant of selling one’s home. In the meantime, we must contend with currently low new listings, Last month’s new listings were over 17 per cent below the 10-year average. The total number of homes listed for sale in Metro Vancouver at the end of January was 8,617. This was a 20.3 per cent decrease compared with the same month one year ago. From these figures you can see that decreasing supply is occurring in the Metro Vancouver market place. In actual numbers, however, there is still an ample supply and at very good prices at present. Sales of detached homes and townhouses both increased by 0.5 per cent in the past month; and condominium sales increased 1.0 per cent in the same period. It’s an excellent time to make an offer on home. Check out the property types and areas below for comparative benchmark changes in the past month.

Detached Homes The benchmark price for a single-family detached home in Greater Vancouver at the end of January 2020 was $1,431,200, an increase of 0.8 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $2,929,600 and Sunshine Coast at $564,900. (Note I include the Sunshine Coast only as a factor in the average, but do not report on housing prices in this area because it is too far away for my clients). The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Burnaby South at $1,493,500, an decrease of 0.1 per cent from the preceding month; Richmond at $1,503,100, a decrease of 0.5 per cent from the preceding month; and North Vancouver at $1,536,800, an increase of 1.6 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby North at $1,407,700, an increase of 1.3 per cent from the preceding month; and Port Moody at $1,399,800, no change from the preceding month.

Townhouses The benchmark price for a townhouse in Greater Vancouver at the end of January 2020 was $782,500, an increase of 0.5 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $1,147,200 and Maple Ridge at $522,300. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Vancouver East at $903,600, an increase of 2.6 per cent from the preceding month; North Vancouver at $478,400, an increase of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month; and Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $1,147,200, an increase of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Richmond, at $775,500, an increase of 0.7 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby South at $768,100, an increase of 0.7 per cent from the preceding month; and New Westminster at $732,900, an increase of 1.2 per cent from the preceding month.

Condominiums The benchmark price for a condominium in Greater Vancouver at the end of January 2020 was $663,200, an increase of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were West Vancouver at $996,600 and Maple Ridge at $342,400. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Burnaby East at $714,500, a decrease of 0.1 per cent from the preceding month; Vancouver West at $775,700, an increase of 2.0 per cent from the preceding month; and West Vancouver at $996,600 a decrease of 1.3 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby South at $661,700, an increase of 1.5 per cent from the preceding month; Port Moody at $640,700, a decrease of 2.2 per cent from the preceding month; and Richmond at $634,100, an increase of 0.6 per cent from the preceding month.

How can I help? I’m always eager to help my clients in any way I can. Please don’t forget I also bring strong banking and finance experience to help with your budget and mortgage planning. And if you are thinking about renovations on your existing home, I can offer good advice on what your investment will return to your future home value. I can also recommend reputable and reliable tradespeople who provide quality work at reasonable rates. Please let me know if I can assist in any way at all. It’s a pleasure for me to help you.

Please don’t hesitate to give me a call. (604) 779-7992

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®

Sales increase while prices still below one year ago; signs of prices now inching upward monthly.

November ushered in lots of sunshine for Vancouverites. And that wasn’t the only bright spot. For home hunters the more than 4,000 new listings in October makes for a great selection across all detached homes, townhouses and condominiums. Added to the existing supply, the total inventory of available properties rose to well over 12,000 in Metro Vancouver. October also saw a significant increase in home sales: over 22 per cent higher than September. This current upward movement in sales activity is a very positive indicator of buyer confidence in the Greater Vancouver market. Compared to sales one year ago, the volume is more than a 45 per cent increase. Prices overall can be described as stable, allowing sales transactions to take place without undue stress for both seller and buyer. Over the past six months, prices have decreased 1.7 per cent on average. But there are signs that prices may have begun inching upwards. For anyone wanting the current monthly comparison, take a look at the detailed comparisons I make for each of the property type below.


The composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver at the end of October was $992,900, up slightly by 0.2 per cent above September. It is still 6.4 per cent below the benchmark price at this time one year ago so I still strongly recommend making an offer on a home now , especially if you have been waiting for an opportune time. With the recent increase in sales volume, we may begin to see prices edge upwards in the coming months, even though they have dropped below price levels one year ago. Take a look at the comparisons across the property types below and you will notice that there are more increases than decreases in the last one-month comparison. This cannot be construed as a trend yet, but I suggest market watchers take notice of the short-term variations each month. For example, each of the benchmark prices for detached homes, townhouses, and condominiums in Metro Vancouver this month has increased slightly over the preceding month. If you want a deeper dive into these benchmarks for prices in different municipalities, I have selected six areas for each property type. This allows you to watch the monthly change for any area, and you can stay abreast of the monthly changes in this newsletter.

Detached Homes
The benchmark price for a single-family detached home in Greater Vancouver at the end of October was $1,410,500, an increase of 0.3 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $2,912,000 and Sunshine Coast at $598,300. (Note I include the Sunshine Coast only as a factor in the average, but do not report on housing prices in this area because it is to far away for my clients). The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: North Vancouver at $1,465,700, an increase of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby South at $1,473,100, an increase of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month; and Richmond at $1,501,600, an increase of 1.7 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Port Moody at $1,394,300, a decrease of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby North at $1,366,200, an increase of 1.6 per cent from the preceding month; and Vancouver East at $1,360,500, an increase of 0.1 per cent from the preceding month.

Townhouses
The benchmark price for a townhouse in Greater Vancouver at the end of October was $$771,600, an increase of 0.5 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $1,113,400 and Maple Ridge at $528,800. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Richmond at $773,400, an increase of 0.8 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby South at $776,600, an increase of 2.6 per cent from the preceding month; and Vancouver East at $852,800, an increase of 1.1 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: New Westminster at $724,800, and increase of 2.6 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby North at $723,900, a decrease of 0.8 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby East at $653,000, an increase of 1.1 per cent from the preceding month.


Condominiums
The benchmark price for a condominium in Greater Vancouver at the end of October was $652,500, an increase of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of the average were West Vancouver at $1,048,800 and Maple Ridge at $350,400. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Burnaby East at $711,300, a decrease of 0.4 per cent from the preceding month; Vancouver West at $754,100, a decrease of 0.1 per cent from the preceding month; and West Vancouver at $1,048,800, an increase of 2.7 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby South at $645,300, a decrease of 1.4 per cent from the preceding month; Port Moody at $630,600, an increase of 0.6 per cent from the preceding month; and Richmond at $625,500, a decrease of 0.3 per cent from the preceding month.


I can help in many ways
I bring extensive experience in banking and finance so let me know how I can help. I am happy to share my expertise with you for mortgage planning or determining the optimal listing pricing for your property. If you are thinking of adding value to their home with renovations, I can also recommend reliable tradespeople who provide quality work at reasonable rates. Please don’t hesitate to ask. It gives me great pleasure to help my clients.

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®

Sales move up while new listings drop; composite residential benchmark still below $1-million

There are several market dynamics occurring at this time which reinforce what I have been saying for the last couple of months. If you are watching the housing market with the intention of buying, then I highly recommend you make that decision now. July sales in the Greater Vancouver region showed a sharp rise over June, an increase of more than 23 per cent in one month. I would normally not pay the as much attention to one month’s activity except that July is typically a slower month for real estate sales. Add to this current activity two other metrics to see what’s emerging. First, the number of new listings in July went down almost 5.0 per cent compared with June; and second, the composite benchmark price is just under the psychological threshold of $1-million. Together, these three figures suggest that buyers are realizing prices could begin rising against a declining inventory, and that once the $1-million mark is surpassed again, pent up demand can keep it going upwards. This can also cause potential sellers to delay their listing while hoping to get a higher price, which further move prices up on supply -demand basis.

In actual numbers, there is still a sizable inventory across all housing types so the selection remains very good with a total 14,240 homes available at the end of July. You can find a sample of benchmarks for each property type below with my latest comparisons of month-over-month prices. The composite benchmark price for Metro Vancouver at the end of July was $995,200, a slight decrease of 0.2 per cent from June. As I mentioned last month, this benchmark dropped below $1-million for the first time since 2017, brought down by market cooling measures taken by two levels of government. During this time, a lot of potential buyers have been waiting on the sidelines to make a purchase. As it did in 2017, this benchmark price jumped over $1-million quickly. I will be watching it for you in this newsletter next month. In the meantime, I encourage you to take advantage of the lovely summer weather and check out some of the great listings available to you now.

Detached Homes

The benchmark price for a single-family detached home in Greater Vancouver at the end of July was $1,417,000, a decrease of 0.5 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $2,885,400 and Sunshine Coast at $596,300. (Note I include the Sunshine Coast only as a factor in the average, but do not report on housing prices in this area because it is to far away for my clients). The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Port Moody at $1,442,000, an increase of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month; Richmond at $1,474,800, a decrease of 0.7 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby South at $1,477,300, a decrease of 1.3 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby North at $1,373,400, a decrease of 1.9 per cent from the preceding month; Vancouver East at $1,352,800, an increase of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby East at $1,181,900, and increase of 0.1 per cent from the preceding month.

Townhouses

The benchmark price for a townhouse in Greater Vancouver at the end of July was $770,000, a decrease of 0.6 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $1,114,700 and Maple Ridge at $524,100. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Richmond at $770,900, a decrease of 1.1 per cent from the preceding month; Vancouver East at $847,400, a decrease of 1.6 per cent from the preceding month; and West Vancouver at $1,114,700, a decrease of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month. (Note I have excluded Whistler in third place here because it is too far away for my clients.) The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby South at $760,600, a decrease of 0.3 per cent from the preceding month; New Westminster at $713,900, a decrease of 1.1 per cent from the preceding month; and Port Moody at $656,900, an increase of 0.4 per cent from the preceding month. (Note I have excluded Squamish in third place here because it is too far away for my clients.)

Condominiums

The benchmark price for a condominium in Greater Vancouver at the end of July was $653,200, a decrease of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of the average were West Vancouver at $1,085,700 and Maple Ridge at $347,800. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Burnaby South at $653,500, a decrease of 1.9 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby East at $721,200, a decrease of 2.0 per cent from the preceding month; and Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $752,300, an increase of 1.1 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Port Moody at 628,700, an increase of 1.4 per cent from the preceding month; Richmond at $652,500, a decrease of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby North at $609,500, an increase of 0.3 per cent from the preceding month.

How can I help?

I am here to help you, whatever your housing requirements, I bring experience in banking and finance to assist you in your mortgage planning and can also advise you on pricing your home at the optimal price for the prevailing market conditions. This may include renovations that will increase your home value or simply enhance your own living comfort. I can recommend excellent tradespeople who are reputable, reliable and reasonable in their rates. It gives me pleasure to help my clients. Please don’t hesitate to call me for any real estate advice you may need.

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®