fraser valley

Despite Covid-19, housing prices and new listings move upwards

What a difference a month can make! As every sector of our economy is trying to cope with COVID-19 disruptions, there are many sources of pressure on the housing market. At the beginning of March, we were beginning to see a resurgence in demand for residential properties in Greater Vancouver. A stifled market after a lengthy period of onerous mortgage rules that had reduced demand had come to end. Buyers who had been waiting to see how low prices would go were now rapidly making offers in an optimal period of low interest and eased mortgage lending requirements. In the first two weeks of March, before the full COVID-19 effect was felt, residential sales across Metro Vancouver jumped over 17 per cent from the preceding month, reaching over 46 per cent higher than one year earlier. Then, just as quickly, a decline set in for the last half of the month – undoubtedly attributable to the precautions necessitated by the epidemic. At present, this unprecedented situation can only be monitored for its impact on the real estate market in the short term. While sophisticated statistical models can provide us with best- and worst-case scenarios, the spread of the virus is ultimately dependent on the behavior of people. However, there is optimism across our region that we are making progress in slowing the rate of infections through social distancing and other safety measures. Of course, this has impacted the ability of home seekers to attend open houses but there is still much you can do online and by phone. For this reason, I want to provide you with information that is useful during this challenging time.

If we are to consider the effect of the coronavirus on our housing market, we must focus on the timing of events. With the surge in demand in early March, we can see some larger than usual price increases beginning to take place. There was also a close to an 11 per cent increase in new listings in Metro Vancouver in March compared with February. This may be interpreted as a shift from a lengthy period of being a “buyers’ market” now transitioning to a “sellers’ market.” What this means is that the underlying demand of housing is pushing upwards and encouraging more people to put their property up for sale as prices rise. I have been advising home buyers to move quickly for the past couple of months, and I still encourage you to keep this market shift in mind. While Covid-19 may slow a rapid increasedue to the practical problems of visiting properties, it will not eliminate the underlying demand which has been pent up for a couple of years. Even with the slowing effect in the last half of March, the composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver at the beginning of March was $1,033,700, a 1.3 per cent increase from February.  Broken down to each property type, there month-over-month increase across the board: 1.2 per cent increase for detached homes; 0.9 per cent increase for townhouses; and 1.4 per cent increase for condominiums. In the comparative benchmarks below, you can see that prices in the past month far exceed the number of decreases.  

 Detached Homes

The benchmark price for a single-family detached home in Greater Vancouver at the end of March was $1,450,700, an increase of 1.2 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $2,942,200 and Maple Ridge at $835,100. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Burnaby North at $1,453,100 an increase of 2.4 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby South at $1,493,500, an increase of 1.1 per cent from the preceding month; and Richmond at $1,522,800, an increase of 0.9 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Vancouver East at $1,426,500, an increase of 1.3 per cent from the preceding month; Port Moody at $1,420,300, an increase of 0.6 per cent from the preceding month; and Vancouver East at $1,225,300, an increase of 2.5 per cent from the preceding month.  

Townhouses

The benchmark price for a townhouse in Greater Vancouver at the end of March was $791,800 an increase of 0.9 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $1,133,500 and Maple Ridge at $535,100.  The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Richmond at $795,000 an increase of 1.4 per cent from the preceding month; Vancouver East at $893,300, a decrease of 1.2 per cent from the preceding month; and Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $1,133,500, an increase of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby South at $768,400, a decrease of 0.6 per cent from the preceding month; New Westminster at $749,000, an increase of 0.7 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby North at $727,700, no change from the preceding month.

Condominiums

The benchmark price for a condominium in Greater Vancouver at the end of March was $687,000, an increase of 1.4 per cent from the preceding month.  The extremities of this average were West Vancouver at $1,027,600 and Maple Ridge at $359,700. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Burnaby East at $678,900, an increase of 4.8 per cent from the preceding month; Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $810,800, an increase of 1.9 per cent from the preceding month; and West Vancouver at $1,027,600, an increase of 1.4 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby South at $674,900, a decrease of 0.5 per cent from the preceding month; Port Moody at $671,900, an increase of 3.8 per cent from the preceding month; and Richmond at $655,200, an increase of 2.3 per cent from the preceding month.   

Let me help

I am working hard to help my clients during this challenging time. I know many of you want to find a home while prices are still within your budget; if you need help navigating the new rules for eased mortgage stress testing; or if you are looking for the best mortgage for your financial capacity, please give me call. There is a lot we can do online and by telephone. I encourage you to visit my website for an extensive list of properties, prices, and areas. Together we can meet the challenges we are facing with COVID-19 and still manage your housing needs.   

Please don’t hesitate to give me a call. (604) 779-7992

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®


A great supply of home listings for affordable spring shopping

If you’ve been waiting for sunnier weather to start home hunting this spring, the month of May has not disappointed – nor has the abundant inventory of listed properties which increased by 16 per cent In April. Figures for the Greater Vancouver area showed there were over 5,700 new listings last month, bringing the total inventory for all housing types to 14,357. This is very close to the total inventory one year ago, putting prospective buyers in a very commanding position to make an offer at this time. Prices on average, having dropped considerably since last summer, are now in an affordable range for more people. We could therefore see a spike in spring sales, so I encourage you to take a look now. Residential home sales in the region last month increased by nearly 6.0 per cent from the month before, and I see no reason why this upward swing will not continue at this time.

There continues to be a focus by news media on the declining number of home sales based on figures from ten years ago. This may make interesting reading for the political interest in government measures behind the price drop in the region. However, I want to point out that what is overlooked in much of this long-term discourse is the short-term activity which holds some important data for anyone in actual purchase mode right now. The increase in month-over-month sales is one indicator that there is still upward price pressure in the market. Note that composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver was virtually unchanged (0.3 per cent decrease) from March to April. In the specific property types below, I report my selected monthly changes based on benchmark prices for the end of April. But you may be surprised to note that not all areas show a decline. Look for example at the one-month condominium price increases in Burnaby East of 4.5 per cent and 1.5 per cent in Burnaby North. As prices decline some places, they increase in others.                

Detached Homes

The benchmark price for a single-family detached home in Greater Vancouver at the end of April was $1,425,200, a decrease of 0.8 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $2,948,400 and Sunshine Coast at $611,400. (Note I include the Sunshine Coast only as a factor in the average, but do not report on housing prices in this area because it is to far away for my clients). The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: North Vancouver at $1,499,400, a decrease of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month; Richmond at $1,531,000, a decrease of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby South at $1,532,100, a decrease of 0.8 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby North at $1,391,000, a decrease of 1.5 per cent from the preceding month; Port Moody at $1,366,200, a decrease of 2.6 per cent from the preceding month; and Vancouver East at $1,357,200, a decrease of 2.4 per cent from the preceding month. 

Townhouses

The benchmark price for a townhouse in Greater Vancouver at the end of April was $783,300, no change cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $1,167,700 and Maple Ridge at $542,600. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Vancouver East at $816,500, a decrease of 0.6 per cent from the preceding month; North Vancouver at $957,700, a decrease of 0.5 per cent from the preceding month; and Vancouver West at $1,167,700, a decrease of 1.4 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Richmond at $780,200, a decrease of 1.4 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby South at $679,200, a decrease of 1.3 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby North at $708,900, a decrease of 2.4 percent from the preceding month. 

Condominiums

The benchmark price for a condominium in Greater Vancouver at the end of April was $656,900, no change from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were West Vancouver at $1,128,500 and Maple Ridge at $348,600. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Burnaby South at $679,200, a decrease of 0.3 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby East at $754,900 an increase of 4.5 per cent from the preceding month; and Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $764.600, a decrease of 0.6 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the  benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Richmond at $654,900, a decrease of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month; Port Moody at $633,000, a decrease of 0.3 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby North at $611,800, an increase of 1.5 per cent from the preceding month. 

How Can I Help?

Please let me know how I can help you.  There are many factors in your decision-making process that I am qualified to advise on. Whether you are wondering about mortgage planning and finance procedures, or desiring information on a specific property or area, I can help.  If you considering listing your property for sale, I am able to advise you on the optimal price and provide you with a detailed market comparison to other properties in your area of interest. And remember, I can recommend reputable and quality tradespeople if you are considering home renovations.  It gives me great pleasure when I can assist my clients in any way.  

Thanks for reading!

Please contact me for more information.

604-779-7992

sibo.zhang@gmail.com

Sibo Zhang

Notable Price Drops, New Listings Jump Dramatically in January

With the first month of the year behind us, I want to point out something interesting that typically happens during the month of January. I call it a belated Christmas present to home buyers. I have noticed that home sellers tend to drop their asking price at this time of year and current market data appear to support this. As you scan the sample benchmark price comparisons below, you can see some higher than usual price declines from the previous months. Where we have been seeing one-month price declines typically around 1.0 per cent, there are several decreases around 2.0 per cent this past month. And in some particularly notable cases the one-month decline is over 3.0 per cent. Take for example the one-month price decrease of 3.4 for condominiums in Burnaby East or the 2.6 per cent decrease for townhouse in Ladner. Of course, we have been tracking a trend of month-over-month decreases in all residential properties since the middle of last summer when several financial constraints for buyers came into effect, but I suspect the post-Christmas effect has also contributed to some of these exceptional price drops during January. I highly recommend that anyone eager to make a deal with a good purchase price at this time of year take a close look at the benchmarks across all property types listed below.

COMBINED BENCHMARKS

The combined benchmark for all property types in Metro Vancouver at the end of January 2019 was $1,019,600, a decrease of 4.5 per cent from one year earlier, and a 1.2 per cent decrease from the preceding month. In the Fraser Valley the combined benchmark for all property types at the end of January 2019 was $821,100, a decrease of 0.8 per cent from one year earlier and 1.6 per cent decrease from the previous month.

METRO VANCOUVER

Big increase in new property listings

In Metro Vancouver new property listings increased dramatically during January, another excellent reason to look consider a home purchase at this time. There were over 10,000 residential properties on the market at the end of last month. The new listings this past January were an extraordinary 244.6 per cent higher than listings in the preceding month.

Detached Homes

The benchmark price for a single-family detached home in Metro Vancouver at the end of January was $1,453,400, a decrease of 1.7 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $3.049,700 and the Sunshine Coast at $600,000. (Note I include the Sunshine Coast region only as a factor in the average, but I do not report on housing prices in this area because it is to far away for my clients). The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Port Moody at $1,454,500, a decrease of 2.1 per cent from the previous month; North Vancouver at $1,512,200, a decrease of 1.9 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby South at $1,533,700, a decrease of 2.3 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Vancouver East at $1,428,700, a decrease of 1.3 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby North at $1,415,300, a decrease of 2.3 per cent from the previous month; and Coquitlam at $1,195,000, a decrease of 1.5 per cent from the preceding month.

Townhouses

The benchmark price for a townhouse in Metro Vancouver at the end of January was $800,600, a decrease of 1.1 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $1,216,600 and Maple Ridge at $538,700. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark of the higher side of the average were: Richmond at $808,200, a decrease of 1.4 per cent from the preceding month; Vancouver East at $848,200, a decrease of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month; and North Vancouver at $979,900, a decrease of 1.4 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby South at $792,800, an increase of 0.3 per cent from the preceding month; Ladner at $740,500, a decrease of 2.6 per cent from the preceding month; and Tsawwassen $732,200, a decrease of 2.2 per cent from the preceding month. (Note: I have not included Whistler in this comparison as it is too far out for my clients)

Condominiums

The benchmark price for a condominium in Metro Vancouver at the end of January was $658,600, a decrease of 0.8 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were West Vancouver at $1,108,800 and Maple Ridge at $359,500. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Burnaby South at $687,900, an increase of 0.3 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby East at $743,900, a 3.4 per cent decrease from the preceding month; and Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $783,400, no change from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Richmond at $657,500, a decrease of 1.6 per cent from the preceding month; Port Moody at $629,400, an increase of 0.3 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby North at $606,400, a decrease of 2.0 per cent from the preceding month.

FRASER VALLEY

Even bigger Increase in new listings

New listings in the Fraser Valley in January made an even bigger jump than in Metro Vancouver. Fraser Valley new listings hit a 266.7 per cent increase over new listings in the preceding month. This brought the total Fraser Valley residential listings to nearly 6,000, making it an ideal time for buyers to look at the market and take advantage of the current month-over-month price drops. Keep in mind that newly listed properties in the Fraser Valley typically do not stay on the market for a long time. During this past January, single family homes remained on the market for an average of 55 days. Townhouses averaged 44 days and condominiums 45 days. It’s also notable that last month, for the first time, condominiums outsold detached homes in the Valley. The Fraser Valley remains a highly desirable area for young families and singles making their first home purchase. I highly recommend taking a look for a good deal at this time.

Detached Homes

The benchmark price for a single-family detached home in the Fraser Valley at the end of January was $954,100, a decrease of 1.2 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were South Surrey/White Rock at $1,351,300 and Mission at $662,700. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: North Surrey at $956,400 a decrease of 1.8 per cent from the preceding month; Cloverdale at $978,700, a decrease of 0.4 per cent from the preceding month; and Langley at $980,300, a decrease of 2.3 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: North Delta at $879,600, a decrease of 0.9 per cent from the preceding month; Abbotsford at $777,900, a decrease of 1.9 per cent from the preceding month; and Mission at $662,700, an increase of 1.7 per cent from the preceding month.

Townhouses

The benchmark price for a townhouse in the Fraser Valley at the end of January was $522,100, a decrease of 1.9 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were South Surrey/White Rock at $669,000 and Abbotsford at $377,100. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Cloverdale at $532,400, a decrease of 3.3 per cent from the preceding month; North Surrey at $569,200, a decrease of 1.5 per cent from the preceding month; and Surrey at $569,900, a decrease of 1.9 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Langley at $485,000, a decrease of 2.0 per cent from the preceding month; Mission at $451,500, a decrease of 1.0 per cent; and Abbotsford at $377,100, a decrease of 1.6 per cent from the preceding month.

Condominiums

The benchmark price for a condominium in the Fraser Valley at the end of January was $409,000, a decrease of 2.2 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were South Surrey/White Rock at $481,000 and Abbotsford at $307,000. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the higher side of the average were: Surrey at $417,900, a decrease of 2.4 per cent from the preceding month; Cloverdale at $454,400, a decrease of 2.9 per cent from the preceding month; and South Surrey/White Rock at $481,000, a decrease of 3.8 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Langley at $408,800, a decrease of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month; North Surry at $400,800, a decrease of 2.1 per cent from the preceding month; and North Delta at $391,000, a decrease of 2.2 per cent from the preceding month.

I can help

Please feel free to call me if you need help with any decision making, or if you just want to chat about market conditions in general. If you need specific information on a particular property or neighbourhood, I am more than happy to do an analysis of the area of you. I also have professional experience in banking and finance and will gladly guide you through your mortgage requirements.

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®

Declining Prices Continue Into the New Year

A new year is upon us, and I welcome you back from the holiday season just past.

Everyone is wondering of course, what the residential market will do in the year ahead of us. It’s natural to want to gaze into the proverbial crystal ball to predict the future. And while I’m afraid I don’t have such a fortune telling device, I can advise you on the trend that is continuing from the end of last year.

In general, average home prices (benchmarks) are showing slight declines each month, although there are still minor upticks here and there, which is normal in any active market. Looking back at 2018 we can see the skyrocketing prices that had been occurring since 2016 suddenly peaked at the end of June last year. They have been declining in small increments each month since. We can safely surmise that this dramatic reversal resulted from government measures to cool the market: provincial foreign ownership and speculation taxes combined with new federal rules for stricter mortgage qualification.

Add to all this, higher variable mortgage rates pushed up by Canada’s central bank’s rising interest rates and it’s easy to see why prices are dropping. In the last six months of 2018, the cumulative decline was 6.5 per cent.

Forecasts and current trends

The first thing I will say about this trend is that there is no reason to think it will not continue into the near future. But exactly how long is anybody’s guess. I want to be very upfront with you about this. I will not tell anyone to list or buy at a specific time based solely on market statistics for two reasons: First, even an educated guess is still a guess, and two (more importantly), there are many personal and individual factors that need to be taken into consideration in such an important transaction. What I am able to do for my clients during a period of indecision is to help them evaluate what their needs are, both financial and for living accommodations, and how to develop a sound strategic plan based on their individual circumstances. This may be something like setting a threshold or target price to wait for, or a preparing a comparative market analysis on a property you are considering at the present time. I have also been able to assist clients in deciding on renovations that will help to maximize their value when they decide to sell; or to help prospective buyers with the features they want for their individual tastes.

Newsletter in 2019

I will continue to provide a monthly snapshot of benchmark prices for all property types across the Lower Mainland based on the latest statistics. I know readers like to watch these monthly changes in average prices. The cooling market has shifted from a sellers’ market to a buyers’ market since July last year, meaning that buyers don’t have to make offers frantically, as they did when the prices were soaring. A couple of statistics that I will include in this new environment are one-year and ten-year comparisons so you can get some idea of what the current benchmarks mean during this current period.

Combined Benchmark

The combined benchmark for all property types in Metro Vancouver at the end of December 2018 was $1.032,400, a decrease 2.7 per cent decrease from one year earlier, and a 0.9 decrease from the preceding month. This benchmark price is 102.5 per cent higher than 10 years ago. In the Fraser Valley the combined benchmark for all property types at the end of 2018 was $834,700, an increase of 2.5 per cent from one year earlier and a 0.8 per cent decline from the previous month. This benchmark price is 97.0 per cent higher than 10 years ago.

METRO VANCOUVER BENCHMARKS

Detached Homes

The benchmark price for a single family detached home in Metro Vancouver at end of December 2018 was $1,479,7000, a decrease of 1.4 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $3,138,400 and the Sunshine Coast at $613,700. (Note I include the region only as a factor in the average, but I do not report on housing prices in this area because it is to far away for my clients). The three municipalities with benchmarks closest on the higher side of the average were: Port Moody at $1,485,300, a decrease of 0.9 per cent from the preceding month; North Vancouver at $1,569,800, a decrease of 2.6 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby South at $1,569,800, a decline of 2.6 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest to the benchmark on the lower side of the average were: Burnaby North at $1,448,900, a decrease of 1.4 per cent from the preceding month; Vancouver East at $1,447,300, a decrease of 1.6 per cent from the preceding month; and Coquitlam at $1,214,300, a decrease of 1.3 per cent from the preceding month.

Townhouses

The benchmark price for a townhouse in Metro Vancouver at the end of December 2018 was $809,700, a decrease of 1.1 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of the average were Vancouver West (not West Vancouver) at $1,140,900 and Maple Ridge at $360,800. The three municipalities closest on the higher side of this average were: Richmond at $819,800, a decrease of 2.4 per cent from the preceding month; Vancouver East $850,000, an increase of 2.3 per cent from the preceding month; and North Vancouver at $994,300, a decrease of 2.0 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest on the lower side of this average were: Burnaby South at $790,800, a decrease of 0.9 per cent from the preceding month; Ladner at $760,500, a decrease of 1.2 per cent from the preceding month; and Tsawwassen at $748,800, an increase of 1.3 per cent from the preceding month.

Condominiums

The benchmark price for condominium in Metro Vancouver at the end of December 2018 was $664,100, a decrease of 0.6 per cent from the previous month. The extremities of the average were West Vancouver at $1,140,900 and Maple Ridge at $360,800. The three municipalities closest on the higher side of this average were: Richmond at $668,500, an increase of 1.5 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby South at $685,700, a decrease of 0.6 per cent from the preceding month; and Burnaby East at $770,300, an increase of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest on the lower side of this average were: Port Moody at $627,300, a decrease of 2.9 per cent from the preceding month; Burnaby North at $619,100, a decrease of 2.1 per cent from the preceding month; and North Vancouver at $567,300, a decrease of 1.2 per cent from the preceding month.

FRASER VALLEY BENCHMARKS

Detached Homes

The benchmark price for a detached home in the Fraser Valley at the end of December was $965,300, a decrease of 1.1 per cent from the previous month. The extremities of this average were South Surrey/White Rock at $674,100 and Mission at $651,900. The three municipalities closest on the higher side of this average were North Surrey at $973,500, a decrease of 0.6 per cent from the preceding month; Cloverdale at $982,200, an increase of 0.1 per cent from the preceding month; and Langley at $1,003,000, a decrease of 0.6 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest on the lower side of this average were: North Delta at $887,800, a decrease of 2.8 per cent from the preceding month; Abbotsford at $792,600, a decrease of 1.3 per cent from the preceding month; and Mission at $651,900, a decrease of 0.4 per cent from the preceding month.

Townhouses

The benchmark price for a townhouse in the Fraser Valley at the end of December was $531,900, a decrease of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were South Surrey/White Rock at $572,100 and Abbotsford at $314,000. The three municipalities closest on the higher side of this average were: Cloverdale at $550,400, a decrease of 0.9 per cent from the preceding month; North Surrey at $577,600, a decrease of 1.9 per cent from the preceding month; and Surrey at $581,000, an increase of 0.5 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest on the lower side of this average were: Langley at $494,700, a decrease of 0.4 per cent from the preceding month; Mission at $455,900, an increase of 2.7 per cent from the preceding month; and Abbotsford at $383,400, a decrease of 2.1 per cent from the preceding month.

Condominiums

The benchmark price for a condominium in the Fraser Valley at the end of December was $418,300, a decrease of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month. The extremities of this average were South Surrey/White Rock at $500,100 and Abbotsford at $314,000. The three municipalities closest on the higher side of this average were: Surrey at $428,200, a decrease of 0.9 per cent from the preceding month; Cloverdale at $468,100, a decrease of 0.7 per cent from the preceding month; and South Surrey/ White Rock at $500,100, a decrease of 1.2 per cent from the preceding month. The three municipalities closest on the lower side of this average were: Langley at $413,100, a decrease of 0.9 per cent from the preceding month; North Surrey at $409,600, a decrease of 1.0 per cent from the preceding month; and North Delta at $400,000, a decrease of 0.8 per cent from the preceding month.

QUESTIONS? PLEASE LET ME KNOW

Please remember, I make my family home in Surrey and we are proud to see our city grow with the neighbourhood amenities that make for a wonderful life here. I am here to help with whatever your real estate needs may be. As a consistently recognized top-tier realtor, and with experience in finance, banking and real estate sales, I am happy to advise you, without pressure, so you can make a choice that will lead to your long-term happiness. Please let me know if I can help.

With my wife and two children, we wish you the very best for 2019.

Your Market Update for May 2018 – Greater Vancouver and the Fraser Valley

 

Home buyers in the Metro Vancouver area this month have more to be happy about than just the sunnier weather that is showing up more often!

There is also a brighter picture for home selection than has been the case for some time. Based on figures at the end of April, the number of new listings increased by nearly 31 per cent compared to the preceding month. That’s a big jump. In actual numbers it was 5,820 new listings across all property types, bringing the total inventory for detached homes, townhouses, and condominiums in Metro Vancouver to 9,822, so there is no doubt going to be considerable interest in open houses this month. If you are among those prospective buyers who have pre-qualified for a mortgage, then you have another advantage going for you. Your mortgage qualification would have made you aware of the more stringent requirements set by the federal government, which means that you will likely have fewer buyers competing for a property, and with the increased inventory this can help keep the price down. This was part of the government of the government strategy to slow the rate of price increases, and it appears to be working right now. However, there is still plenty of activity in the market to keep moving prices upward, although perhaps at a slower rate. Overall, Metro Vancouver prices across all property types inched up 0.7 per cent from the preceding month. Most of the sales that occurred in April were for condominiums which was close to 50 per cent of all sales activity. Townhouse sales took slightly over 36 per cent of the activity, and detached residences were just under 15 per cent. The Benchmark price for all property types at the end of April was $1,092,000

It is worth comparing the Benchmark price for detached properties in Metro Vancouver at $1,605,800 at the same time. With approximately $½-million difference from the overall benchmark, we can more clearly understand why many home buyers have opted for other types of residential properties. There’s actually been a slight decline of 0.2 per cent in detached properties from March to April this year. In fact, since April last year, there’s been a significant decrease of 33 per cent in detached property sales. Attached properties, on the other hand, showed a relatively larger month-over-month increase in the respective Benchmarks. Metro Vancouver condominiums had a Benchmark price of $701,000 at the end of April, which was a 1.1 per cent increase from March. Benchmark price of a townhouse was $854,200, a 2.3 per cent increase for the same period. Below is a survey of average prices for each property type in areas with the upper and lower sides are closest to the overall Benchmark. As usual, where the extremities include the Sunshine Coast, Squamish, or Whistler, I note the area for its high or low end of the average but do not survey the property types in these areas as they are too far from the Metro Vancouver area desired by my clients.

Single Detached Homes

The extremities of the Metro Vancouver average Benchmark for single detached homes were Vancouver West at $3,054,000 and the Sunshine Coast at $614,600. Municipalities with average prices closest to the Metro Benchmark on the higher side were South Burnaby at $1,675,800, a month’s increase of 0.1 per cent; North Vancouver at $1703,400, a month’s decrease of 1.2 per cent; and Richmond at $1,684,500, a month’s decrease of 1.4 per cent. Closest on the lower side of the Metro Benchmark were North Burnaby at $1,595,800, a month’s increase of 3.3 per cent; Vancouver East at $1,544,100, a month’s decrease of 1.3 per cent; and Port Moody at $1,510,200, a month’s increase of 1.7 per cent.

Townhouses

The Metro Vancouver Benchmark price for townhouses at the end of April 2018 was $854,200. The extremities of this average were West Vancouver at $1,302,200 and Maple Ridge at $585,200. Municipalities with average prices closest to the Metro Benchmark on the higher side were Vancouver East at $933,500, a month’s increase of 2,8 per cent; North Vancouver at $1,030,900, a month’s increase of 2.5 per cent; and Vancouver West at $1,302,200, a month’s increase of 2.5 per cent. Closest on the lower side of the Metro Benchmark were Richmond at $839,00, a month’s increase of 1.0 per cent; South Burnaby at $834,900, a month’s increase of 0.9 per cent; and Ladner at $786,100, a month’s increase of 0.8 per cent.

Condominiums

The Metro Vancouver Benchmark price for condominiums at the end of April 2018 was $701,000. The extremities of this average were West Vancouver at $1,295,900 and Maple Ridge at $329,000. Municipalities with average prices closest to the Metro Benchmark on the higher side were South Burnaby at $715,800, a month’s decrease of 1.5 per cent; East Burnaby at $731,500, a month’s increase of 0.5 per cent; and Vancouver West at $841,700, a month’s decrease of 0.4 per cent. Closest on the lower side of the Metro Benchmark were Port Moody at $692,300, a month’s increase of 2.5 per cent; Richmond at $684,100, a month’s increase of 3.7 per cent; and North Vancouver at $611,900, a month’s increase of 1.8 per cent.

Of general interest this month I want to draw you attention to those average prices that have declined over one month. You will note that most of the decreases are for the property type of Single Family Detached. While it is only a snapshot in time, it appears to confirm the overall picture for the Metro Vancouver Market sales activity, which is a move away from Single Family Detached to the other two property types. In condominium and townhouse categories, you see several month-over-month price increases that stand out as significantly higher than others. You may find these monthly changes a helpful key to watching the market both for purposes of obtaining a good current price, and for what could be a good investment property as well. Please call me if you would like any further information on any property type in a specific area. I am always happy to help you your individual needs.

FRASER VALLEY

The Fraser Valley, like the Greater Vancouver region, also saw an increase in housing inventory at the end of April. New property listings across all types increased by 3,429, nearly 20 pre cent more than new listings in March, bringing the total Valley inventory to 5,667. making for a great selection this Spring. However, even with a substantial increase in available residential properties, prices are continuing to rise each month. The combined Benchmark price for all residential property types across the lower mainland at the end of April was $1000,900, an increase of 0.9 per cent from the preceding month. But it’s important to note that this Spring the actual number of sales for the month of April was down close to 25 per cent compared to one year ago. This does not mean that demand is not still high for a Valley property, but it appears that there is some current hesitancy in the market which might be attributable to uncertainty about prices under new mortgage qualifying requirements. Nonetheless, there is still strong demand generally, and sales of townhouses and condominiums continues to dominate the market activity. One again, over 50 per cent of April’s total of 1,708 sales were for townhouses and condos. These two property types sell very quickly, with the average time after listing being 14 days for condominiums and 16 days for townhouses, compared to 26 days for a single detached home. The price point between single detached homes and the other types appears to be the basis for this difference in Fraser Valley sales activity. The Benchmark price for a single detached property at the end of April was $1,009,200. With the Benchmarks for townhouses and condos still below the $1-million mark, the Valley continues to be a favorite location for first time buyers, whether singles or young families. Below is a breakdown for this market segment with properties close to both sides of the average Benchmark in Fraser Valley areas.

Townhouses

The Benchmark price for a Fraser Valley townhouse at the end of April was $691,700. The high and low extremities for the average were in South Surrey/White Rock at $525,100 and Abbotsford at $346,600. Closest to the Benchmark on the higher side were North Surrey at $577,000, a month’s increase of 0.6 per cent; Surrey at $584,900, a month’s increase of 1.2 per cent; and North Delta at $604,800, a month’s increase of 2.3 per cent. On the lower side of the Benchmark were Langley at $524,400, a month’s increase of 1.8 per cent; Mission at $449,300, a month’s increase of 0.6 per cent; and Abbotsford at $390,200, a month’s increase of 1.9 per cent.

Condominiums

The Benchmark price for a Fraser Valley condominium at the end of April was $447,500. The high and low extremities of this average were South Surrey/White Rock at $525,100 and Mission at $346,300. Closest to the Benchmark on the higher side were Langley at $453,000, a month’s increase of 1.9 per cent; Surrey at $456,200, a month’s increase of 0.9 per cent; and Cloverdale at $509,000, a month’s increase of 0.4 per cent. On the lower side of the Benchmark were North Surrey at $432,600, a month’s increase of 1.8 per cent; North Delta at $424,500, a month’s decrease of 0.4 per cent; and Abbotsford at $346,600, a month’s increase of 3.0 per cent.

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®

Abbotsford Airport (YXX)

The fact that a small community like Abbotsford in the Fraser Valley has an international airport is interesting in itself!

What it is best known for, of course, is the annual Abbotsford International Air Show, which brings spectacular air acrobatics, and is one of one of the highest profile events in the region. There is, however, a great development that makes the Abbotsford International Airport (YXX) even more attractive.

If you are like many of my real estate clients who are either living in the Fraser Valley, or who are thinking moving there, YXX is a major reason that the Valley is an increasingly attractive area! For anyone who needs to fly for business, or who wants an easy way to start a vacation, the Abbotsford International Airport is poised to offer even more flights for domestic and international destinations.

This is a big advantage from having to compute to the Vancouver Airport on Sea Island. In fact, in 2012 a flight from Abbotsford to Vancouver International Airport was one of Abbotsford International’s marquis services, when Island Express Air launched a 12- minute flight to the South Terminal of Vancouver International, a considerable time saver over a two-hour driving time – and for a mere $50.00. Today, more and more residents of the Fraser Valley are realizing that Abbotsford Airport is a convenient alternative to the commute to Vancouver’s Sea Island, and one that is ramping up new flights and destinations each year.

The most recent news this year shows that the number of passengers using Abbotsford appears to be rising exponentially each year. In 2017, a total of 677,653 passengers flew through the Airport, an increase of 147,010 or 27.7 per cent over 2016; and 2016 saw an increase of 8.78 per cent over the previous year, according to a news release at the beginning of this year. The Abbotsford Airport is preparing for considerably more growth in the future. This year is plans to add 14,000 square feet of new space in its terminal building, which will double the present seating capacity to accommodate 600 passengers, and a second expansion is scheduled to be completed by 2021. It will also add two more airline gates in anticipation of more airlines using the international airport. This is great news for flyers who want to have more flights both within in Canada and to other countries.

At the beginning of this year, the Airport was home to several national airlines as well as smaller local airlines, together offering an array of services to national and international destinations as well as locations on Vancouver Island and elsewhere in the province.

In June 2017, Abbotsford International celebrated its 20th anniversary of service by WestJet, the first national air carrier to service Abbotsford International Airport with 3,000 passengers in 1997 and over 530,00 in 2016. WestJet now also flies vacationers from Abbotsford to Puerto Vallarta in Mexico on a frequent schedule. In June 2015, Air Canada started its Rouge service at Abbotsford International with a non-stop flight between Abbotsford and Toronto, announced at the time by Air Canada as the “only non-stop flights between eastern Canada and Abbotsford, the largest municipality in BC’s Fraser Valley Regional District.”

According to a Vancouver Sun news article in March this year, Abbotsford International is poised to expand to over 800,000 passengers by 2020 with the arrival of Flair Airlines service to Edmonton, Hamilton and Winnipeg. In addition. two low cost carriers, Swoop and Canada Jetlines are planning to offer holiday flights to the USA, Mexico and the Caribbean. Rounding out the benefits of having a local airport than can provide access to domestic, national, and international flights, is the Fraser Valley’s shuttle service for the Airport. Valley Airporter advertises it will transport you for reasonable rates between YXX and your residential address in any of the Fraser Valley’s municipalities.

The Abbotsford International Airport is just one of the special features that make living in the Fraser Valley an enjoyable experience. When you need to get to an airport, it’s nice not to arrive tired after a long drive. And this is especially true for the return trip. When you arrive at the Abbotsford International Airport, you want to get home after your trip as quickly and efficiently as possible. This is just one of the many things that living in the Fraser Valley has to offer!

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®

Photo credit to: http://www.summitbrooke.com/

April’s Market Update for Metro Vancouver and the Fraser Valley

OUR CURRENT RESIDENTIAL MARKET

As we move into the second quarter of 2018, I’m sure everyone is looking forward to more sunshine and fewer rainy days. The weather can be a factor in our outlook and affect our decision-making even on major transactions like buying or selling a residential property. That’s a good reason to pay close attention to some key market trends occurring in local prices and inventories. With so much recent news on new government regulations and taxes on property, it’s easy to develop negative views that are not wholly informed by the facts of the marketplace. Another thing that can contribute to unnecessary pessimism is an over-emphasis on longer term historical comparisons. Regular readers of my monthly newsletter get a picture of the marketplace which is as up-to-date as available statistics make possible, allowing them to understand the where and why of prevailing prices in a context that is relevant to current circumstances. I will continue to breakdown the market segments for each property type in the following geographical regions of Metro Vancouver and the Fraser Valley.

METRO VANCOUVER

In the past month of March there were total of 4,450 new listings in Metro Vancouver which was increase of 5.4 per cent over the preceding February. That’s good news for the active home seeker; yet, it’s fewer than the 4,762 listings that occurred in the same month one year ago. The latter statistic might be of interest in broader academic analysis of the Vancouver residential market, but it’s probably not going to affect a decision to buy or sell at the current time because the prevailing market psychology doesn’t believe that prices are going to move backwards in time. 00 For that reason, I am always talking to my clients to understand what they really want to know for the decisions that are important to them. And what I hear is that you wish to know about what is happening now, and in a context of what it points to in the near term. So here are my selected key metrics based on market activity tabulated on the end of last month.

Across all residential property types in Metro Vancouver there were 2,517 sales at the end of March. This was 14 per cent higher than the preceding month of February, so we can see there is still upward pressure on based on demand and the relatively low increase in new listings. At the end of March, the total inventory of listed homes in Metro Vancouver was 8,380. Breaking down the demand in each property type, we see 14.2 per cent for detached homes; 39.9 per cent for townhouses; and 61.6 per cent for condominiums. The composite Benchmark price for all Metro Vancouver residential properties at the end of March was $1,084,000, an increase of 1.1 per cent over one month. Below I will look at each property type in more detail.

Detached Properties

The Benchmark price for a detached residential property in the Greater Vancouver area at the end of March was $1,608,500, more than half a million dollars above the composite benchmark price for the region. This may give you an idea of a general price level. However,it needs to be considered in relationship to the property types factored into the composite benchmark, which we can look at under their individual headings below. For Single Family Detached homes, the Benchmark price is an average between price extremities of $3,449,000 in Vancouver West (noteworthy: higher than West Vancouver at $3,115,400.) and $606,000 on the Sunshine Coast. I have selected three municipalities closest on the upper side of the Benchmark, and three which are closest on the lower side, where you can see the price change in the past month. On the higher side of the Benchmark were South Burnaby at $1,673,700, a decline of 0.5 per cent in one month; Richmond at $1,708,400, an increase of 0.6 per cent in one month; and North Vancouver at $1,723,200, an increase of 2.2 per cent in one month. On the lower side of the Benchmark are North Burnaby at $1,544,100, an increase of 0.7 per cent in one month; Vancouver East at $1,553,100, a decrease of 0.5 per cent in one month; and Port Moody at $1,484,800, an increase of 0.1 per cent in one month.

Townhouses

The Benchmark price for townhouses in the Greater Vancouver area at the end of March was $835,300, an increase of 2.0 per cent over one month. This average had extremities of $1,271,000 in Vancouver West, and increase of 1.7 per cent in one month; and $575,100 in Maple Ridge, an increase of 4.3 per cent in one month. Excluding Squamish and Whistler for their distance from Metro Vancouver, I have selected three municipalities closest on each side of the Benchmark. On the upper side are Vancouver East at $908,200, an increase of 4.5 per cent in one month; North Vancouver at $1,005,400, an increase of 0.7 per cent in one month; and Vancouver West at $1,271,000, an increase of 1.7 per cent in one month.

Condominiums

The Benchmark price for condominiums in the Greater Vancouver areas at the end of March was $693,500, an increase of 1.6 per cent in one month. The extremities for this average were West Vancouver at $1,278,600 and Ladner at $459,300. Again, excluding Squamish and Whistler because of their distance for Metro Vancouver buyers, here are three municipalities with closest prices on the upper and lower side of the Benchmark, along with their month over month price change: South Burnaby at $727,300, an increase of 2.4 per cent in one month; East Burnaby at $727,800, an increase of 3.0 per cent in one month; and Vancouver West at $844,700, an increase of 1.1 per cent in one month. Closest to the Benchmark on the lower side were Port Moody at $675,000, an increase of 1.0 per cent in month; Richmond at $659,700, an increase of 0.3 per cent in one month; and North Burnaby at $641,600, a decrease of 0.1 per cent in one month.

FRASER VALLEY

The Valley continues to be a very active market which shows no sign of slowing. With Spring around the corner, I urge anyone who is seriously contemplating a purchasing a Valley residence of any type to take advantage of open houses in their desired category. There were 2,865 new listings in March which was a close to a 25 per cent increase from February’s new listings. Keep in mind that new property listings in an active market can attract more prospective buyers, especially as the weather invites more viewers. Even with an increased inventory, demand is still very strong putting upward pressure on prices. At the end of last month there was a total inventory almost 5,000 properties overall. Townhouses and condominiums made up just over 50 per cent of all Valley sales and were the fastest to sell after their listing, on average 16 days for a townhouse and 13 days for a condominium. Single detached homes sold on average in 30 days after listing. Below I examine at each property type by their current Benchmark prices and make some recommendations on which municipalities you might wish to look.

Single Family Detached

A major milestone has been reached in the Fraser Valley. The million-dollar mark for a single detached residence was reached for the first time at the end of March with a Benchmark price $1,001,400, an increase of 0.9 per cent in one month. We have been waiting for several months to see this threshold reached. It now remains to be seen if this will be a psychological threshold as well, both for buyers and sellers. For the former, some prospective buyers may decide they are now priced out of a single detached home and begin to look for a home of another property type. For sellers, we will have to see if the new price level encourages more listings. Focusing on prices closest to this Benchmark average, along with their month-over-month price change, here is my standard selection of three areas above and below the Benchmark. On the upper side of the Benchmark were: Langley at $1.026,600, a decrease of 0.2 per cent in one month; Surrey at $1,031,500, an increase of 1.2 per cent in one month; and Cloverdale at $1,045,400, an increase of 0.8 per cent in one month. Closest on the lower side of the Benchmark price were: North Surrey at $980,100, an increase of 0.8 per cent in one month; North Delta at $950,200, an increase of 0.6 per cent in one month; and Abbotsford at $814,000, an increase of 1.3 per cent in one month.

Townhouses

The Benchmark price for a Fraser Valley townhouse at the end of March was $541,800, an increase of 2.0 per cent in one month. The extremities of this average were South Surrey/White Rock at $678,000 and Abbotsford at $383,000. Municipalities with prices closest to the Benchmark were: On the upper side, North Surrey at $573,800, an increase of 2.4 per cent in one month; Surrey at $577,800, an increase of 1.6 per cent in one month; and North Delta at $591,300, an increase of 1.8 per cent in one month; closest on the lower side of the Benchmark were: Langley at $514,900, an increase of 1.3 per cent in one month; Mission at $446,500, an increase of 3.0 per cent in one month; and Abbotsford at $383,000, an increase of 3.1 per cent in one month.

Condominiums

The Valley Benchmark at the end of March for condominiums was $440,400, an increase of or 4.3 per cent in one month. The extremities for this average were South Surrey/White Rock at $524,100 and Mission at $329,500. Municipalities with prices closest on the upper side of this Benchmark were: Langley at $444,500, an increase of 4.8 per cent in one month; Surrey at $452,300, an increase of 5.8 per cent in one month; and Cloverdale at $507,100, an increase of 3.9 per cent in one month. On the lower side of the Benchmark, the closest prices were in North Delta at $425,900, an increase of 8.1 per cent in one month; North Surrey, at $424,900, an increase of 3.5 per cent in one month; and Abbotsford at $336,600, an increase of 6.6 per cent in one month.

AFTERWORD

In closing, I suggest you pay close attention to any trends you may spot in the month-over-month increases in Benchmark prices that I mention in each newsletter. This may help you see where prices are driven by demand and as you become familiar with increases – or decreases – in the short term, this may assist your decision making. However, keep in mind that there may be other factors that cause price changes which is out of the usual range. If you have any questions and need specific information on any housing type in any of the areas in the lower mainland, please don’t hesitate to call me. I keep an close eye on the residential market, and I want to help my clients find what they are looking for, or to make a listing decision when the time is right.

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®

B.C.’s New Real Estate Taxes – Part 2

The Additional Property Transfer Tax

As mentioned in my last blog in March, one of two new real estate taxes announced by the B.C. government in its 2018 budget this past February is the Additional Property Transfer Tax. In this blog I will provide an outline of the measures covered by this tax and highlight some of the main points that could affect current B.C. property owners and prospective home buyers.

Prior to February 21, 2018, the property tax transfer rate was 15 % on properties in the Greater Vancouver Regional District. After February 21, the transfer tax increased from 15 % to 20 %, based on the fair market value at the time of registration for property transfers in the following areas in the province of British Columbia:

  • Greater Vancouver Regional District
  • Capital Regional District
  • Fraser Valley Regional District
  • Regional District of Central Okanagan
  • Regional District of Nanaimo

Two Important Exceptions

Excluding the Greater Vancouver Regional District, the remaining four regions noted above have two instances where you don’t have to pay the additional transfer tax on property transfers after February 21: First, you don’t have to pay if you register before, or on, May 18, 2018, as long as the property transfer is subject to a written agreement dated on or before February 20, 2018; and second, if the transfer is subject to a court order dated before February 20, 2018, or several other specific legal conditions on property transfers related to divorces, separations, or estates of deceased persons. I advise you to get advice from your lawyer if any of these situations applies to you.

As a general guide, the changes introduced on the property tax transfer took effect February 21, 2018. If you purchase a property that is registered at the provincial Land Title Office, you will need to pay certain transaction costs which are taxable. Without going into the details of the various legally required transactions – which your Realtor can explain to you – I want to point out to you that you can qualify for a reduced tax if you are: a) purchasing your first home; or b) purchasing a newly built home.

The tax is calculated on the fair market value at the time of property registration. Note that properties on the Tsawwassen First Nation lands are exempt from the additional property transfer tax. There are also two other exemptions which I would advise you get legal advice if you not sure they apply to you. The first is any exemption that applied to you for the previous property tax transfer also exempts you from the additional transfer tax, except in the following situations: i) a transfer resulting from an amalgamation; ii) a transfer to a surviving tenant; iii) a transfer where the transferee is or becomes a trustee in relation to the property, even if the trust does not change; and second, if you are confirmed B.C. Provincial Nominee and certain criteria are met for foreign nationals under the B.C. Provincial Nominee Program.

Foreign Nationals and Foreign Entities

If you are a confirmed under the B.C. Provincial Nominee Program when the property transfer is registered with the Land Title Office; ii) the property is to be used as your principal residence; iii) the property transfer is made to an individual. Note that the additional property transfer tax does NOT apply to registration of mutual fund trusts, real estate investment trusts or specified flow-through trusts. You should also note that if you were confirmed as a B.C. Provincial Nominee between August 2, 2016 and March 17, 2017, you might be eligible for a refund of the additional transfer tax if you paid it.

If you happen to be a foreign national, a foreign corporation, or a taxable trustee, there is also an additional transfer tax on residential properties in certain areas of British Columbia, as listed above.

This summary of the new Additional Property Tax is based on information provided by the Government of British Columbia. I have summarized what I think are the major points of interests for my clients; however, like any tax measures, there are always situations that may require more in depth information. I would recommend that if you think you may be in such a situation that you talk to a knowledgeable tax lawyer about your specific situation. I hope the above summary has informed you adequately to understand if the new transfer tax may apply to you, You may find additional information on the new transfer tax at: B.C. Provincial Budget Tax Changes.

I will watch for any changes in these tax rules and report what I see in the blog space. Please feel free to ask for any advice that I might be able to provide. I’m always happy to help in any way I can.

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®

Your January Real Estate Recap for Metro Vancouver and the Fraser Valley

A New Year and New Considerations

As we launch into a new year of residential sales across B.C.s Lower Mainland, there are developing issues that prospective home buyers and sellers will want to track, such as how increased mortgage rates and how new government regulations on qualifying for a mortgage may affect the market. I want to help my readers keep abreast of these developments and to make sense of the real estate market dynamics, so I invite you to check this newsletter each month for the latest updates.

In this my first newsletter of 2018, I will start with an overview of the how the residential market place looks compared with last year. This will give you a baseline for watching trends over the coming year, and hopefully will help your plans for either a selling or buying transaction, or simply being an interested observer of one of Canada’s most active real estate market places. I will start first with Metro Vancouver, with the most recent figures from the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver

METRO VANCOUVER

Overall, residential prices in the Greater Vancouver area (Metro Vancouver) rose substantially during 2017. The composite Benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver at the end of last year was $1,050.300. That was almost 16 per cent higher than one year earlier. Breaking down the year-over-year increase to different property types, detached properties rose 7.9 per cent; townhouses rose 18.5 per cent; and condominiums rose 25.9 per cent. The higher relative price increases reflect greater sales activity in the latter two categories.

Detached properties

As was the case for much of last year, detached properties did not show large month-to-month price increases. In that category it still appears to be waiting game. Owners of detached homes are not rushing to list their properties at a Benchmark price of $1,605,800. If it is price that determines when to list a property for sale (remember the maxim: ‘everything has its price’), this suggests owners see more residual value in their detached properties than the current price level would fetch. There was actually a decrease of 54 per cent in detached listings from November to December 2017. So, if you want to consider the purchase of a detached home at this time, I believe it would be an excellent investment even at Benchmark price over $1.5-million. You should also keep in mind that new government regulations on mortgage qualifications (see my blog post for December 2017, Your December Real Estate Recap), as well as the prospect of higher interest rates coming later this year, will likely shrink the number of buyers for higher priced properties in the detached property category. For home seekers with a lower price in mind, I would recommend looking in townhouse or condominium market where there are some very good opportunities with Benchmark prices for properties in Metro Vancouver still under $1-million.

Townhouses and Condominiums

The Benchmark price for townhouses in Metro Vancouver at the beginning of 2018 was $803,700 and for condominiums $655,400. For townhouses, this was a slight decrease of 0.2 per cent from the previous month, while for condos it was an increase of 1.1 per cent. In last month’s newsletter I said I would watch a possible widening in the difference between townhouse and condo prices based on monthly increases and decreases. The current differential is a total of a 1.3 per cent compared to last month’s 0.7 per cent, so it is continuing to look as if a widening gap is beginning. It is too early to be certain at this time, but I’ll continue to track this metric so you can check next month to see how it is developing. Below is a breakdown of my suggested areas to look for these two property types based on Benchmark prices at the end of December 2017. This month I have selected three areas with the greatest month-over-month increase and three with the biggest declines, but each with prices still under $1-million.

For townhouses, the greatest increases in Benchmark prices were in East Vancouver at $879,200, a 2.0 per cent increase over one month; Ladner at $776,900, a 2.7 per cent increase over one month; and North Burnaby at $728,200, a 2.3 per cent increase over one month. The biggest decreases from the preceding month (excluding the outlying areas of Whistler and Squamish) were in North Vancouver at $982,800, a decrease of 0.1 per cent over one month; Port Coquitlam at $632,700, a decrease of 0.5 per cent over one month; and Maple Ridge at $527,500, a decrease of 1.0 per cent over one month.

For condominiums, the greatest increase in Benchmark prices were in Richmond at $637,200 an increase over one month of 4.0 per cent; Pitt Meadows at $422,800, an increase over month of 2.1 per cent; and Burnaby East at $681,400, an increase over one month of 1.9 per cent. Two others also had month-over-month increases of 1.9 per cent: New Westminster at $503,300 and Coquitlam at $502,900. Three areas had one month decreases: North Vancouver at $560,600, down 1.0 per cent; Tsawassen at $462,400, down 1.1 per cent; and Vancouver West at $807,100, down 0.5 per cent.

FRASER VALLEY

The Benchmark price for a detached property in the Fraser Valley at the end of last year was $976,400, a slight increase from the preceding month but still under the $1-million bracket in Metro Vancouver. However, as was the case throughout the year, townhouse and condominium sales dominated residential sales in the Valley at the end of 2017. These two property types made up more than half of all Valley sales 2017, with 5,198 townhouses and 6,183 condominiums.

The Fraser Valley continues to be the area of choice for many first-time home buyers in 2018, both for young families and individuals starting out in their careers. It offers very attractive properties in comfortable and enjoyable neighborhoods with excellent lifestyle options for both families and singles. Public transportation planning across the region makes any of the municipalities an excellent investment option for the long term. And with prices still significantly below those in Metro Vancouver, the Fraser Valley continues as one of the hottest residential markets. In the month December 2017, there were a total of 1,344 sales, the second highest December volume ever. Nonetheless, there were 1,277 new listings during the month, and the inventory for December 2017 ended with 3,818 active listings, so I encourage anyone looking for Valley home to shop seriously at this time. Below I make my monthly recommendations for the areas to search for excellent value. For each property type this first month of January, 2018, I have chosen to compare the year-over-year increase along with the last month increase or decrease. In some municipalities the Benchmark price has crept above the $1-million mark for the first time. Many clients in this market segment want to consider their investment compared to Metro Vancouver, so I have therefore selected four municipalities where the detached Benchmark price is over $1-million. For townhouses and condos, I have selected areas with the biggest increase from one year earlier.

Detached Homes

At the end of 2017, the December Benchmark price in Surrey/White Rock was $1,472,300, an increase of 4.8 per cent from one year earlier, and an increase of 0.2 per cent from the preceding month. The Benchmark price for a detached property in Surrey Central was $1,014,900, an increase of 17.1 per cent from one year earlier, and an increase from one month earlier was 0.2 per cent. In Cloverdale, the December Benchmark price was $1,004,900, an increase of 17.2 per cent from one year earlier, and an increase of 0.7 per cent from the preceding month. In Langley the December Benchmark price was $1,002,200, an increase of 15.8 per cent from one year earlier, and a decrease of 0.5 per cent from the preceding month.

Townhouses

The biggest year-over-year increase in townhouse Benchmark prices at the end of December 2017 was in North Surrey with a Benchmark price of $414,200, an increase of 28.8 per cent from the end of 2016, and a 1.8 per cent increase over the preceding month. The Benchmark price in Surrey Central was $549,700, an increase of 27.2 per cent from the end of 2016, and an increase of 1.6 per cent from the preceding month. In Cloverdale, the Benchmark price was $572,600, an increase of 26.9 per cent and a 0.9 per cent increase from the preceding month.

Condominiums

North Delta saw the biggest year-over-year increase in the Benchmark price for condominiums. There the Benchmark price at the end of 2017 was $361,800, an increase of 44.1 per cent since the end of 2016, and a 3.9 per cent increase over the preceding month. The Benchmark price in Langley was $396,900, and increase of 40.3 per cent over one year, and an increase of 2.0 per cent from the preceding month. In Abbotsford, the Benchmark price was $286,600, an increase of 33.6 per cent over one year, and a increase of 2.5 per cent from the preceding month.

I hope you fill find these suggestions helpful, and I wish you great success in your home search or sale as we begin this new year. I am always eager to help my clients in any way I can. Remember, I keep a close watch on market changes, so please feel free to call me any time you have a question.

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®

Your December Real Estate Recap

With Christmas almost here, I know it’s a bustling time that can also be somewhat stressful even as we enjoy festive activities, often in the homes of our friends and relatives. For my clients who are currently in the market to buy a home, this can also be a good season to refresh your spirits from your hard work, and look forward to next Christmas when you are entertaining guests in your new home. It’s a happy season when we can really appreciate the value of home ownership – something that enhances our enjoyment of life and gives us a sense of stability with a longer-term focus for our daily routines.

The Metro Vancouver housing market has given us a gift this season as well. There were over 4,000 newly listed residential properties in the month of November. On top of that, the composite benchmark price for all properties increased a mere 0.4 per cent from October, so there is good reason to actively pursue the home you want at this time. It’s probably wise to think that the modest monthly price increases that have been occurring over recent months will not continue forever. Keep in mind that this past November’s composite benchmark price was 14 per cent higher than one year ago. We don’t have a crystal ball to tell us when the next major surge in demand may suddenly drive prices much higher, but we can be reasonably certain that Vancouver will continue to attract more home buyers, even at the higher end for a single family detached home which is currently at a benchmark in Metro Vancouver of $1,608.000. Prices above the $1-million psychological threshold that I have talked about for several months will eventually begin to move higher more quickly.

For other property types, the November benchmark price for Metro Vancouver townhouses was $805,200; and for condominiums, $648,200. As with detached properties, a similar modest monthly price increase occurred with a 0.3 per cent increase for townhouses, but for condominiums it was a full 1.0 per cent higher than October. I will monitor this differential in the coming months because I see a possible rate of change widening between townhouses and condominiums. Consider that the six-month differences were increases of 8.7 per cent for townhouses and 11.0 per cent for condominiums; and the twelve-month difference was an increase of 17.9 per cent for townhouses and 23.9 per cent for condominiums. There appears to an upward sloping curve developing faster for price increases of condos, which I will keep you informed about in future newsletters. Below is a breakdown of my suggested areas to look for these two property types based on November’s figures.

For townhouses, there are six areas that showed an increased price of less than 0.1 per cent from October. With their respective Benchmark prices in November, these were: Vancouver West at $1,268,200, an increase of 0.3 per cent; North Vancouver at $983,600, an increase of 0.7 per cent; Vancouver East at $861,900, an increase of 0.8 per cent; Richmond at $805,500, an increase of 0.7 per cent; New Westminster at $682,300, an increase of 0.5 per cent; and Maple Ridge at $532,900, and increase of 0.6 per cent.

For condominiums, there are four areas that showed an increased price of less than 0.1 per cent from October. With their respective Benchmark prices in November, these were: Vancouver West at $811,200, an increase of 0.6 per cent; Richmond at $612,900, an increase of 0.5 per cent; Vancouver East at $540,300, an increase of 0.3 per cent; and New Westminster at $493,900, an increase of 0.6 per cent.

Fraser Valley

The Valley remains a popular area for young families and singles buying their first home. The benchmark price for a Single Family Detached home is still under the $1-million mark despite months of speculation that it would surpass this threshold very soon. The November price of $972,700 was only 0.1 per cent higher than October, so like Metro Vancouver, the monthly rate of increase is still low and generally stable at present. The rate of increase for the same property type from one year ago was 13.5 per cent. It’s probably safe to assume that this rate of increase will continue similarly, or even accelerate over the next year. Even continuing at the same rate, it would mean in one year the benchmark price will be over the $1-million mark. For this reason, anyone looking to buy a Single Family Detached Property in the Valley might want to make that purchase soon. One area that is very close to reaching the $1-million benchmark price are Cloverdale at $998,100, followed by two others: North Surrey at $941,800 and North Delta at $914,900. I would be happy to show you some homes that would be good investments in any of these areas.

The greatest sales activity in the Fraser Valley continues to be in attached homes, with 425 townhouses and 426 condominiums sold in November. The market is still “hot” so I encourage anyone who is really wanting to buy in the region to make an offer without delaying. The average length of time to sell a townhouse last month was 21 days, and 17 days for a condominium. These two property types provide some affordable prices, especially for young singles who are getting into the condominium market for the first time, or young couples who are looking for larger townhouse to start raising a family. The November benchmark price for Valley townhouse was $505,700, and for a condominium $376,700. You can see at these prices why the Valley is so popular. Below, I have selected some areas where I think there are some excellent choices for buyers who are watching current prices.

For townhouses, this month I want to draw your attention to the areas of North Delta, and South Surrey/White Rock. Both these areas have seen an interesting benchmark price change from October to November. They are the only two Fraser Valley areas where the townhouse benchmark has actually decreased. A decrease in price is unusual when so many people are looking to buy, but it does not necessarily mean that the value of the property has decreased. Decreases can occur in short term periods depending on variety of reasons, ranging from the supply-demand ratio to a specific seller’s personal circumstances and desire to sell. In North Delta, the November benchmark price for a townhouse was $564,100, a 2.5 per cent decrease from October. In South Surrey/White Rock, the benchmark price was $642,600, a 0.8 per cent decrease from October. For condominiums, I suggest my clients would find a very nice unit in a price range similar to the Valley benchmark price in the following areas: Here I have also included the one month rate of change since October. There were no decreases for this property type. Starting as far out as Langley, the benchmark price was $389,900, a 2.6 per cent increase; Surrey was at $371,900, a 2.1 per cent increase; North Surrey at $362,000, a 2.0 per cent increase; and North Delta at $328,100, a 0.9 per cent increase.

I am always keeping my eye on market trends, so please give me a call if you have any questions at all about home prices, or what is available for your specific needs. I love to work with numbers, and people, and I am happy to look at your specific requirements to help you with the purchase or sale of your home.

Thanks for reading!

Sibo Zhang, REALTOR®